Lincoln City vs Man. City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 1
LIN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 4
LIN
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
STO
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 0
LIN
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Man. City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
MCI
5 - 0
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 1
MCI
27%
20%
53%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
WBA
0 - 5
MCI
24%
22%
54%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MCI
4 - 1
WHU
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MCI
4 - 1
AVI
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |