Lincoln City vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 3
MAN
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 3
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
WRE
0 - 1
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
CAM
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 2
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
KID
1 - 1
STF
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
KID
0 - 3
BIR
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 1
KID
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
KID
0 - 0
NUN
69%
18%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
HYD
1 - 3
KID
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |