Lincoln City vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 2
LIN
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 1
DON
35%
25%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
BIR
3 - 1
LIN
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BRO
0 - 0
LIN
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
KID
1 - 1
CAM
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
BRO
1 - 0
KID
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 0
KID
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
KID
1 - 0
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SWA
3 - 0
KID
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |