EFL Cup 1/64
Global 5-4
Lincoln City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
SWA
1 - 2
LIN
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
LIN
1 - 1
CAM
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LIN
1 - 1
LEY
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
HAR
2 - 2
LIN
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
LIN
5 - 0
GUL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
LEY
2 - 0
HAR
45%
28%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
HAR
2 - 2
MAN
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
HAR
2 - 2
LIN
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
PLY
3 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
HER
4 - 1
HAR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |