Lincoln City vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 3
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 4
LIN
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OLD
0 - 0
LIN
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PNE
0 - 1
LIN
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 2
BRO
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 0
TOW
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 0
MID
11%
16%
72%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 4
LIN
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 4
SHE
15%
20%
65%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |