FA Cup 1/256
Global 2-1
Lincoln City vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 1
LIN
31%
24%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
WRE
1 - 2
LIN
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
BRA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DOV
2 - 0
LIN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 2
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
6 - 1
YOR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SUT
1 - 0
GUI
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
MAC
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 1
GUI
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |