Lincoln City vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
STO
4 - 0
LIN
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 1
CAM
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
TAM
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
HAY
1 - 2
LIN
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 0
NEW
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 0
GRI
25%
27%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 3
DAR
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 4
WRE
21%
28%
52%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KID
3 - 1
DAR
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 2
EBB
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |