Lincoln City vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 0
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DAG
3 - 0
LIN
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 2
BUR
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 2
LIN
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 0
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 1
CHE
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
DAR
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 1
CRE
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 1
BCF
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |