EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-3
Lincoln City vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
73%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
CHE
2 - 3
LIN
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
LIN
2 - 0
CHE
59%
20%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
GIL
1 - 1
LIN
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
LIN
1 - 2
WAL
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
GUL
3 - 2
LIN
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
CRY
0 - 0
WIM
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
MAC
1 - 1
CRY
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
CRY
1 - 2
LEE
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
ASV
1 - 1
CRY
56%
26%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRY
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |