Lincoln City vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STE
0 - 1
LIN
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
4 - 1
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
TOW
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 3
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 0
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
MCI
54%
19%
26%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 5
CHE
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |