Lincoln City vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 0
LIN
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NOT
4 - 1
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 1
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
LIN
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 2
CHE
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 2
CHE
34%
24%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 3
YEO
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LUT
1 - 0
CHE
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
STA
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |