Lincoln City vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIN
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
YEO
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 3
LIN
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
3 - 0
LIN
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 2
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 2
DAR
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 3
SWA
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
BCF
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |