Lincoln City vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
HUR
0 - 1
LIN
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
LIN
4 - 0
BRI
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
LIN
2 - 0
ROT
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
DON
1 - 3
LIN
68%
17%
15%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 3
LIN
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
CAR
3 - 0
FUL
43%
23%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1958 |
ROT
3 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
CAR
0 - 3
WHU
50%
22%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
BRI
2 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |