Lincoln City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
GRI
1 - 0
LIN
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 1
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 4
DAR
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LIN
4 - 1
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HER
3 - 1
LIN
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 2
DAG
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
CHE
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 1
BCF
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
HER
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
WRE
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |