Lincoln City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
BRI
2 - 1
LIN
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
LIN
1 - 1
HUR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
LIN
2 - 1
NTT
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
GRI
5 - 1
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
LIN
2 - 3
LEI
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
BCF
2 - 0
DER
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
ARS
3 - 1
BCF
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
GRI
1 - 0
BCF
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
BCF
3 - 0
LEY
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
BCF
2 - 2
GRI
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |