FA Cup Previa 2
Global 6-2
Lincoln City vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
LIN
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
WRE
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 0
AFC
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 3
LIN
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NUN
2 - 1
LIN
24%
24%
51%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
LIN
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
ALF
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
4 - 2
GUL
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 0
ALF
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 0
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |