Lincoln City vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
POS
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
LIN
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
5 - 1
BUR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 4
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 1
STF
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
STA
0 - 0
BPO
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
GIL
0 - 2
STA
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WIG
4 - 3
STA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
STA
3 - 2
MAN
71%
16%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |