Lincoln City vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 4
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
SCU
4 - 3
LIN
46%
24%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 2
WAL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
GUL
1 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
LIN
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
STA
1 - 1
ROC
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
STA
1 - 0
NTT
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
STO
1 - 1
STA
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
STA
2 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
STA
0 - 2
DAR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |