Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
Linares CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linares CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
REC
0 - 0
LIN
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
49%
29%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
RJA
1 - 1
LIN
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
CDB
1 - 0
LIN
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
LIN
4 - 1
ALM
17%
22%
60%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
RJA
3 - 1
SEV
70%
19%
10%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
POR
1 - 0
RJA
60%
25%
15%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
RJA
1 - 1
LIN
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
RJA
0 - 0
XER
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SFE
1 - 0
RJA
46%
29%
25%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |