Limonest vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
8º
8º
41
1º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limonest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 4
LIM
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 2
LIM
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
VAU
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 1
CHA
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AIN
3 - 0
LIM
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 0
ESM
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FEU
1 - 2
SAE
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAE
2 - 0
HAL
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAE
2 - 1
SAI
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VAU
1 - 3
SAE
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |