Limón vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PER
3 - 0
LFC
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 0
LDA
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 1
BEL
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CSC
3 - 0
LFC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LDA
0 - 0
LFC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ADC
3 - 1
LDA
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CSC
2 - 0
ADC
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
ADC
1 - 1
PFC
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CSU
2 - 1
ADC
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ADC
2 - 5
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |