Limoges vs Les Herbiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limoges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 0
BRE
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NIO
2 - 2
LIM
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NSF
0 - 6
LIM
12%
18%
70%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LIM
0 - 0
LES
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 1
LIM
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
LES
2 - 1
CON
34%
26%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
PFC
0 - 0
LES
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LES
1 - 1
ORL
28%
24%
49%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
LES
3 - 1
SED
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
AVR
2 - 2
LES
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |