Limoges vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limoges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 1
NAN
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 0
USB
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LIM
4 - 2
LES
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ANG
5 - 0
LIM
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIM
2 - 3
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
DRA
3 - 3
STR
12%
21%
68%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
DRA
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DRA
1 - 1
ALF
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 0
DRA
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |