Limoges vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limoges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 0
LIM
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIM
0 - 0
LES
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 3
LIM
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LIM
2 - 1
CAS
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LIM
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
LEG
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LES
1 - 3
AUR
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 2
PAU
29%
23%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 2
ANG
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |