Limerick vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CAO
3 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 1
DER
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
BRW
0 - 2
LIM
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SHR
5 - 0
LIM
65%
20%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 4
DUN
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
STP
0 - 1
SHR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
STP
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
1 - 1
STP
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STP
1 - 3
BOH
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SLR
1 - 2
STP
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |