Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Limerick vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
YOB
4 - 2
LIM
74%
14%
12%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
LIM
0 - 5
YOB
32%
22%
46%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
CSK
1 - 1
BER
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
CSK
4 - 2
CHB
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
CSK
1 - 2
SPS
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
CSK
2 - 1
LPL
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
DUN
0 - 3
CSK
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |