Limavady vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
8º
4º
21
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PSN
1 - 2
LIM
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 1
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
0 - 0
NEW
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIM
0 - 1
BAN
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
2 - 2
LIM
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
DOL
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 4
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
TOB
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
BRF
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |