Limavady vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LIM
2 - 2
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LIM
3 - 0
AFC
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LIM
3 - 0
ARC
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
LIM
1 - 4
CRU
4%
8%
88%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AUN
6 - 4
LIM
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BAN
6 - 2
MOY
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
BAN
69%
16%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MFC
1 - 5
BAN
5%
10%
85%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAN
0 - 2
POR
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
CLI
3 - 2
BAN
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |