Q. Europa League 4a Ronda Final
Global 2-0
Lille vs FC Vaslui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SOC
0 - 0
LIL
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
LIL
28%
28%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
REN
1 - 1
LIL
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
LIL
4 - 1
CHE
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaslui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 3
STB
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
LIL
28%
28%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
UCL
1 - 1
VAS
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 1
TAR
70%
21%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |