Lille vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 0
SOC
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PSG
3 - 0
LIL
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
LIL
4 - 2
GNK
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
GNK
1 - 2
LIL
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VAD
2 - 4
VCF
26%
27%
48%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 0
SEV
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
VCF
4 - 1
STB
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
STB
0 - 3
VCF
37%
26%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATH
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |