UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 2-0
Lille vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
AUX
33%
30%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
SLA
1 - 1
LIL
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
LIL
3 - 0
SLA
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
DNM
2 - 2
LIL
45%
27%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 1
DNM
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
UDL
2 - 0
SWB
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
0 - 0
UDL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
UDL
2 - 1
YAR
57%
23%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 4
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SLB
0 - 0
UDL
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |