Lille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
SOC
2 - 0
LIL
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
SPO
2 - 1
LIL
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
PSG
1 - 1
LIL
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 1
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
TFC
1 - 0
SPO
53%
27%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
AUX
0 - 0
TFC
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
TFC
0 - 0
PSG
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
CAE
3 - 0
TFC
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
TFC
2 - 0
MON
39%
30%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |