UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 1-2
Lille vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
LHA
0 - 0
LIL
38%
30%
33%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
ASV
0 - 2
LIL
47%
28%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
LIL
0 - 3
GIR
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASV
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
LIL
1 - 0
BRI
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
STU
1 - 1
KAI
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
SLA
0 - 1
STU
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
STU
2 - 1
SLA
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
PRG
2 - 1
STU
39%
25%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
STU
3 - 1
PRG
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |