Lille vs Stade Lavallois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
PSG
0 - 0
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
LIL
4 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
VAL
4 - 2
LIL
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
LIL
4 - 3
ASN
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
REI
3 - 1
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
STL
0 - 1
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
REI
1 - 1
STL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
STL
2 - 2
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
NAN
2 - 1
STL
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1978 |
STL
2 - 3
STR
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |