Lille vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1965 |
SOC
2 - 1
LIL
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
LIL
3 - 0
SED
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
VAL
3 - 0
LIL
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
LIL
3 - 2
REN
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1965 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAN
31%
23%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
SPO
0 - 6
MON
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
SPO
1 - 3
LEN
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |