Copa Latina Semi-finals
Global 7-5
Lille vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1951 |
LIL
1 - 1
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
LIL
4 - 3
ASS
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
33%
24%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
NIC
4 - 1
LIL
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
LIL
2 - 0
REN
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1951 |
LIL
1 - 1
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCP
37%
21%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SCP
0 - 0
BEL
86%
8%
5%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
OLH
0 - 4
SCP
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SCP
7 - 0
BOA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |