Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MET
0 - 3
LIL
28%
29%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 2
VAL
69%
21%
11%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
LIL
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 2
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 5
LYO
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
ASS
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 1
MPL
45%
27%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ASS
3 - 1
MET
62%
24%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |