Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
LMU
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
GIR
2 - 1
LIL
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
STR
2 - 2
LIL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LIL
0 - 2
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 1
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASS
35%
30%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
ASS
0 - 0
IST
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
STL
2 - 0
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |