Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
BAS
4 - 0
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
LYO
1 - 1
LIL
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 0
PSG
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
NIC
2 - 1
LIL
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 0
FCM
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
ASS
2 - 0
GIR
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
FCM
1 - 1
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
ASS
0 - 5
AUX
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
MET
1 - 2
ASS
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
ASS
0 - 0
REN
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |