Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
LIL
0 - 2
CAN
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
LIL
3 - 0
TFC
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
GIR
1 - 1
LIL
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAE
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
MET
3 - 1
ASS
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
ASS
1 - 0
MPL
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
AUX
2 - 0
ASS
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
ASS
1 - 0
NIC
49%
28%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |