Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIL
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
LIL
1 - 1
NÎM
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1971 |
NIC
3 - 1
LIL
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1971 |
LIL
3 - 1
RED
49%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
ASN
2 - 1
LIL
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 3
ASN
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASS
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 1
GIR
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 3
ASS
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 1
AJA
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |