Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1967 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1967 |
LIL
0 - 0
SFP
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1967 |
VAL
3 - 0
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1967 |
LIL
2 - 1
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
NAN
4 - 0
LIL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1967 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ASS
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 3
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1967 |
SOC
0 - 3
ASS
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1967 |
ASS
7 - 1
SFP
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
VAL
0 - 3
ASS
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |