Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
LIL
2 - 1
FCR
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
LIL
0 - 1
NAN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LIL
3 - 3
SFP
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1966 |
ASS
2 - 0
LEN
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
NAN
5 - 0
ASS
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ASS
2 - 1
LYO
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
SFP
1 - 2
ASS
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
ASS
4 - 0
ANG
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |