Lille vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
LIL
0 - 1
NAN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LIL
3 - 3
SFP
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ANG
3 - 1
LIL
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
LIL
1 - 0
LYO
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FCR
0 - 0
GIR
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
NAN
2 - 1
FCR
81%
12%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCR
0 - 1
TFC
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
SFP
0 - 0
FCR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
FCR
1 - 2
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |