Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Lille vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
72%
19%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
34%
27%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EMP
2 - 1
LIL
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
LIL
3 - 2
LHA
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 1
LOK
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
B36
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
B36
1 - 3
RIJ
31%
24%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
6 - 0
IST
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
6 - 1
KFD
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |