Lille vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 0
GUI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 1
LIL
37%
29%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
LUS
1 - 0
LIL
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LIL
0 - 1
SOC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
FCG
0 - 1
LIL
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
RED
4 - 1
PAC
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
EVR
0 - 1
RED
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
RED
2 - 0
PAU
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
RAC
1 - 0
RED
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
RED
1 - 0
PFC
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |