Lille vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1967 |
VAL
3 - 0
LIL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
LIL
0 - 0
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1967 |
LIL
0 - 1
LEN
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
MON
3 - 1
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
LIL
0 - 1
SOC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1967 |
RED
2 - 1
ASA
53%
23%
25%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
FCR
0 - 2
RED
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 0
RED
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
RED
4 - 1
AJA
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
RED
1 - 0
GIR
28%
26%
45%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |