Lille vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
5 - 1
TRO
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIL
22%
25%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 0
TRO
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
REI
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
CLE
0 - 2
LIL
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
PAU
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
PAU
0 - 0
GRE
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
PAU
2 - 1
MPL
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
NIO
2 - 1
PAU
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 1
PFC
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |