Lille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
8º
5º
12
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 82.5% |
|
Champions League
|
19% | 16% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
13.5% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SLP
2 - 1
LIL
34%
26%
39%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
ANG
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
SLP
67%
19%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REI
0 - 2
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 1
LIL
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PSG
6 - 0
MPL
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
1 - 4
PSG
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RBL
1 - 1
PSG
58%
22%
21%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
PSG
13%
18%
69%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 2
PSG
24%
21%
55%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |