Lille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
STR
2 - 2
LIL
44%
29%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
STU
2 - 0
LIL
55%
26%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
LIL
0 - 0
TRO
50%
25%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
LIL
0 - 3
NIC
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
LIL
1 - 0
STU
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
PSG
1 - 1
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
LHA
0 - 1
PSG
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 2
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
GIR
0 - 0
PSG
49%
26%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |